Tan, Darren, Fee, David, Izbekov, P.E., Lopez, T.M., Girona, Társilo, Burgos, Vanesa, McNutt, S.R., Haney, M.M., Wasser, V.K., Larsen, J.F., Grapenthin, Ronni, Angarita, Mario, Saunders-Shultz, Pablo, Shreve, Tara, and Moshrefzadeh, J.A., 2025, Vent-specific unrest at Pavlof Volcano, Alaska: Insights from multidisciplinary data: Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, v. 468, p. 108465, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2025.108465.
Pavlof Volcano, a frequently active volcano in the Aleutian arc, has erupted six times between 2007 and 2022. Many Pavlof Volcano eruptions lack detectable precursory seismicity or ground deformation, making them challenging to forecast. Since 2007, these eruptions have ranged from Strombolian to Subplinian (VEI 2?3), with their characteristics seemingly related to their active vent location. Summit vent eruptions tend to be abrupt and explosive, while southeast flank vent eruptions tend to be more effusive and longer-lived. To better understand Pavlof Volcano?s plumbing system and improve eruption forecasts, we integrate geophysical, petrologic, and satellite-based thermal infrared and gas data to conduct a multidisciplinary data synthesis for eruptions between 2007 and 2022. Notably, a recently developed volcano seismicity detection model reveals unique pre- and syn-eruptive seismic tremor regimes associated with each vent system. The summit vent eruptions show greater tremor diversity and resurgent eruptive behavior, whereas the southeast flank vent eruptions show a steady tremor transition over a single eruptive phase. We use local infrasound data and air-to-ground coupled waves to build explosion catalogs, revealing gas-rich explosions during the 2021?2022 eruption from the summit vent, which was previously thought to be inactive during that eruption. Whole-rock composition and ash analyses indicate a near-uniform basaltic andesite composition spanning multiple eruptions, and a consistent anomalous presence of altered olivines in erupted material. We use these findings to propose a new conceptual model for Pavlof Volcano?s plumbing system: a shallow T-junction outlet controlling seismic tremor diversity and the partitioning of gas-charged magma; and an elongated, heated conduit transporting magma from depth and storing partly molten, residual magma between eruptions. We suggest that magma ascent rate and vent sealing modulate eruption style at Pavlof Volcano, where the T-junction directs rapidly ascending, gas-rich magma to the summit vent, and diverts slower rising, gas-poor magma towards the southeast flank vent.
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