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State of Alaska Alaska / Natural Resources DNR / Geological & Geophysical Surveys DGGS / Geologic HazardsHazards / Barry Arm LandslideBarry Arm

Barry Arm Landslide and Tsunami Hazard

Status Update: March 7, 2025

  • The Barry Arm landslide currently shows no signs of large-scale active deformation but smaller-scale instabilities on the surface of the landslide still pose a threat of localized tsunami generation in Barry Arm. Mariners transiting near Barry Arm should remain vigilant.
  • For more information on monitoring activities, equipment and data availability, please visit https://landslides.usgs.gov/storymap/barry-arm/.
  • This page will be updated on April 4, 2025, or earlier if the threat level changes.
  • Previous updates have been archived here.

Barry Arm landslide on 15 February 2025 as viewed from ground-based radar system.
Photo Credit: USGS.

Operational Challenges Affecting Barry Arm Landslide and Tsunami Hazard Monitoring

We want to share an update regarding operational challenges affecting the Barry Arm Landslide and Tsunami Hazard Monitoring System, which may have temporary impacts on tsunami hazard awareness and response efforts in the region.

Recent changes in operational policies at partnered Federal agencies have resulted in delays in equipment repairs and service renewals essential to maintaining full operational readiness. We recognize the importance of this monitoring system to our federal, state, and local partners, including the U.S. Forest Service, Alaska Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, the U.S. Coast Guard, the City of Whittier, and the City of Valdez. We are working closely with agency leadership to address these challenges and minimize impacts to emergency preparedness and response operations.

We appreciate your patience and continued collaboration as we adapt to changes and implement solutions to operational challenges.

Highlights of Recent Activity

Engineers and Scientists from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and National Tsunami Warning Center have been working to diagnose outages and develop plans to repair critical monitoring systems. Outages include:

  • Limited power at the ground-based radar system.
  • Wind damage to the cellular antenna on Mount Doran contributing to intermittent outages of telemetry of the ground-based radar system.
  • Low power conditions at National Tsunami Warning Center water level sensors.

Upcoming Fieldwork

Scientists and engineers from the U.S. Geological Survey and National Tsunami Warning Center will perform a maintenance trip to ground-based radar system, repeater site, and the sea-level sensors at Point Doran, North Short of Barry Arm, and Esther Passage as soon as schedules allow, and conditions permit.

Upcoming Public Events - March 2025

  • No public events planned

Current Landslide Status

An ongoing landslide and landslide-generated tsunami threat exists in Barry Arm, northwestern Prince William Sound, Alaska. The landslide is stable or exhibiting slow rates of deformation (<50 mm/d). Localized areas of higher velocities may be evident, but movement is largely surficial. While potential failure of these areas may result in a localized tsunami, failure is unlikely to represent a region-wide tsunami threat. Partial or catastrophic rapid failure is unlikely without external forcing, such as that associated with a strong regional earthquake. "Small" but infrequent rockfalls and shallow landslides may be commonly observed.

Mariners should remain vigilant when in the vicinity of Barry Arm or nearby waters and be prepared to depart the area if any unusual rockfall activity is seen or heard, or if unusual waves, currents, or tides are observed.

Background

(Last updated February 2, 2024)

The Barry Arm landslide is a large (~500 M m3 or 650 M yd3) landslide located in the northwestern corner of Prince William Sound, Alaska. Rapid failure of the landslide has the potential to create a tsunami that results in life-threatening waves and currents in Barry Arm, Harriman Fjord, Port Wells and adjacent fjords. The existence of the landslide is evident in photographs dating back to at least 1935, with possible evidence of the landslide in photographs dating to 1913.

Throughout the observational record, the Barry Arm landslide has experienced slow movement punctuated by episodes of acceleration. While slow downslope movement is both common and expected, rapid increases in the rate of movement may be a possible precursor to catastrophic failure. As such, observations and hazard messages are often centered around trends in the observed rates of downslope movement at Barry Arm, as measured by ground-based, aerial, and satellite surveillance methods.

The Barry Arm landslide is being monitored by a multiagency team of scientists from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), National Tsunami Warning Center (NTWC), Alaska Division of Geological & Geophysical Surveys (DGGS), and the University of Alaska Fairbanks Alaska Earthquake Center (AEC). For more information on monitoring activities, equipment and data availability, please visit https://landslides.usgs.gov/storymap/barry-arm/.

Continuity of Operational Monitoring Network

(Last updated February 2, 2024)

Scientists at USGS, DGGS, AEC, and NTWC will continue to make every effort to minimize outage of this critical network of sensors. The Alaska environment and its inhabitants can wreak havoc on our sites: strong winds can damage sensors, power components, and antenna; deep snow can bury instruments and solar panels and makes it difficult to access (and even find) sites, rain can work its way into sensitive electronics, and our four-legged neighbors, such as bear, deer, and goats, have a taste for our wiring and enclosures. While we have made our best effort to harden the sensors, power systems, and telemetry for continuous operation of the equipment and to resist weather and animals, it is necessary to have reasonable expectations given the difficulties of working in this harsh environment. Reasonable expectations include:

  • Safety of the scientists and engineers who maintain the systems is paramount. Poor weather conditions may prevent us from traveling to Barry Arm via helicopter or boat for immediate repair and restoration of system functionality.
  • Prolonged outage of one or more sensors is possible. All efforts will be made to keep equipment operating throughout the year. However, high winds, deep snow, and other hazards such as snow avalanches and rockfall may prevent us from fixing instruments even if we are able to reach the sites.
  • Deep snow, evolving snowpack, and variable atmospheric conditions make it difficult to precisely measure landslide deformation. As such, our ability to inform the public about landslide movement is significantly diminished during winter or when clouds or rainfall obscure the view from the air or space.

Instrumentation Status

An 8 element seismic array installed in cooperation with the Alaska Earthquake Center is planned for early August and will be operated for 2-3 months. There will be maintenance on the infrasound array and a timelapse camera system installed in early August as well.

Monitoring Method Agency Operational Status Notes
Water Level NTWC Limited Whittier Harbor site is online, Port Wells and Barry Arm sites require maintenance
Seismic - BAE AEC Online  
Seismic - BAT AEC Online  
Infrasound - BAEI USGS Online  
Ground-Based Radar USGS Offline Power supply and telemetry outage
Deformation camera USGS Offline Power supply and telemetry outage
Satellite InSAR and imagery USGS Limited Loss of coherence in winter as a result of snow conditions
Hydrometeorology - BAE DGGS Online  
Hydrometeorology - BAW DGGS Online  
Hydrometeorology - Mt Doran DGGS Online  

Recent Publications

  • Belair, G.M., Lahusen, S.R., Avdievitch, N.A., Collins, A.L., Schaefer, L.N., Barnhart, K.R., McCreary, M., Baxstrom, K.W., Rosenkrans, H.S., and Macias, M.A., 2025, Rock mass quality and structural geology observations in Prince William Sound, Alaska (2022): U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P13RFF9F
  • Ellison, S.M., Allstadt, K.E., Thompson, E.M., Martinez, S.N., Baxstrom, K., 2024, Ground failure triggered by the M9.2 1964 Great Alaska Earthquake: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9IHCAR6
  • Kennedy, K.M., Jensen, E.K., Schaefer, L.N., and Coe, J.A., 2024, Inventory of rock avalanches in the central Chugach Mountains, northern Prince William Sound, Alaska, 1984-2024: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P14MQPGO
  • Nicolazzo, J.A., and Larsen, M.C., 2025, Landslide hazard susceptibility mapping in Haines, Alaska: Alaska Division of Geological & Geophysical Surveys Report of Investigation 2024-8, 16 p., 3 sheets, scale 1:25,000. https://doi.org/10.14509/31309

Next Update

This message will be updated on April 4, 2025, or earlier if the threat level changes. For more information, please see our Barry Arm Summary Information & FAQ page.

Contact Information

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Email here for general questions

Dennis Staley
Research Physical Scientist
U.S. Geological Survey - Alaska Volcano Observatory
907-786-7423
dstaley@usgs.gov

Martin Larsen
Landslide Hazards Program Coordinator
Division of Geological & Geophysical Surveys
907-209-3234
martin.larsen@alaska.gov

Michael West
State Seismologist
Alaska Earthquake Center
907-474-6977
mewest@alaska.edu

Dave Snider
Tsunami Warning Coordinator
National Tsunami Warning Center
907-861-4214
david.snider@noaa.gov

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